IPL 2025 playoffs chances have to be re-evaluated as the tournament is set to resume after a week with the India-Pakistan war forcing the authorities to take a pause.
With just 16 matches remaining, including four playoff games, the competition for the top four spots is intensifying. Gujarat Titans and Royal Challengers Bengaluru lead the standings with 16 points each, while Punjab Kings and Mumbai Indians are close behind with 15 and 14 points, respectively.
The resumption of the IPL is crucial not only for the teams and fans but also for broadcasters and sponsors, with significant revenue at stake . Security measures are being enhanced, and some matches may be relocated to venues in southern India to ensure player and spectator safety
In this deep dive, we’ll break down the current IPL 2025 playoffs scenarios, team-wise paths to qualification, and what’s at stake in the race for the IPL 2025 top two.
Venue: Lucknow | Teams: Lucknow Super Giants (5W–6L) vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru (8W–3L)
Lucknow Super Giants (LSG)
🔼 If Win: 0.6%
🔽 If Lose: 0.0%
Summary: Even with a win, LSG need miracles — must win both remaining matches and rely on big losses for multiple teams. A loss effectively knocks them out.
Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB)
🔼 If Win: 100.0% (EFFECTIVELY QUALIFIED)
🔽 If Lose: 94.0%
Summary: A win locks playoff berth (already at 16 points). A loss still leaves RCB well placed but would need 1 more win to secure Top 2 finish.
Let’s now look at each contender’s position, remaining matches, and how many matches to win for playoffs in IPL 2025 to boost their chances. Read detailed summary of chances to qualify for the playoffs for each team.
Here’s how the current IPL 2025 points table appears (updated on May 10 with PBKS vs DC assumed to be replayed):
Now to breakdown scenarios for each team based on remaining fixtures in a table, here’s how it looks:
RCB have been the most consistent team so far and are nearly through to the playoffs.
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
RCB have taken a commanding lead in the IPL 2025 playoffs race and will aim to seal a top-two spot quickly.
The five-time champions are well-placed, but not safe yet.
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
Every remaining game is a 4-point clash, making MI’s path tricky but entirely in their control.
GT have a game in hand and are in a strong position to dictate their fate.
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
GT remain one of the best-positioned teams in this IPL playoffs prediction run-in.
Punjab Kings have strengthened their position in the top two after a convincing win over LSG, but they still need to finish strong.
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
PBKS are well placed in the IPL 2025 playoffs race, but with tight competition for the top two, every run and over will count from here on.
Delhi are outside the top four but still alive.
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
DC’s fate hinges on beating fellow competitors in this intense IPL 2025 playoffs race.
LSG’s narrow loss to PBKS has pushed them to the edge of elimination, with their IPL 2025 playoffs chances now hanging by a thread.
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
LSG are still mathematically alive in the IPL 2025 playoffs race, but their qualification path depends on a perfect run and several external results falling in place.
KKR’s chances are hanging by a thread.
Remaining fixtures:
Kolkata are not mathematically eliminated, but their path is practically shut with two games left and multiple dependencies.
As things stand, RCB, GT, and PBKS look best placed to make it to the top four. MI remain firmly in contention but their recent loss has added pressure. DC, KKR, and LSG are still fighting, while SRH, RR, and CSK are eliminated.
The IPL playoffs race is heating up, and the qualification scenarios may well go down to the final weekend. With several matches between direct rivals like PBKS vs MI and DC vs GT, every point from here is massive.
If you’re wondering who will qualify for IPL 2025 playoffs, the answer is: it’s starting to take shape, but there’s still plenty left to be decided. With GT and RCB both on 16 points, one more win should seal qualification for them. So, has RCB qualified for playoffs 2025? Not mathematically, but they’re virtually through and well set for a top-two finish.
Punjab Kings are also in control with 11 games played and 15 points. A win in either of their remaining two games will likely take them to the playoffs. Mumbai Indians, currently on 14 points with two matches left, are in a slightly more vulnerable spot — can MI qualify for playoffs in IPL 2025? Yes, but they must win both matches to stay safe, especially with their upcoming fixture against direct rivals PBKS.
The battle for the IPL 2025 top two is also heating up. GT, RCB, and PBKS remain strong contenders, while MI need a perfect finish and other results to go their way. Delhi Capitals can still qualify but must win both their remaining matches — against GT and MI — to stand a chance.
With Net Run Rate (NRR) already determining tiebreaker scenarios, teams may need not just wins, but big wins. Whether you’re tracking the IPL 2025 playoffs chances daily or refining your IPL playoffs prediction, expect every ball of the final league games to count.
With just about 10 days left in the league stage, the IPL 2025 playoffs chances are tightening. Gujarat Titans and Royal Challengers Bengaluru lead the standings with 16 points each. One more win for either will confirm their spot in the final four. So has RCB qualified for playoffs 2025? Not officially — but they are as close as a team can be without it being mathematical.
Punjab Kings are still at 15 points following the suspension of their match against Delhi Capitals, which will now be replayed. This keeps them in the top three and still in control of their qualification path. Mumbai Indians are on 14 points and must win both of their remaining fixtures to feel safe.
Most years, 16 points is considered a safe benchmark — but in a packed points table, 17 points may be the new cut-off. For those asking how many matches to win for IPL playoffs, the answer in 2025 seems to be eight wins or 17 points.
The May 5 washout between DC and SRH means Delhi have 13 points with only two games left — they’ll need to win both. Their IPL playoffs chances percentage 2025 is around 40% but a loss in either match will likely shut them out.
KKR, after their loss to CSK, are virtually out. With just 11 points and only two matches left, they can reach 15 — which likely won’t be enough. They must win both and rely on a flurry of favorable results, including MI, DC, and PBKS dropping points.
As of now, RCB, GT, PBKS, and MI hold the strongest positions. But with direct face-offs, fluctuating Net Run Rate, and unpredictable weather, this IPL playoffs race promises twists till the very last day.
ALSO READ:
Royal Challengers Bengaluru are all but through to the playoffs, with a 97.6% chance of qualification. One more win would confirm it.
Yes. RCB need two wins from their remaining three games to almost guarantee a top-two finish.
Not yet, but they are the closest to mathematical qualification.
Yes, Mumbai Indians have a 77.6% chance of qualifying. They need one more win from their remaining two games to feel secure.
Currently at 17.6%, but a perfect finish against PBKS and DC could keep them in contention.
Yes, almost. Gujarat Titans have a 98.0% qualification chance. One more win from their last three matches should confirm it. But even otherwise, other results should seal the deal.
Yes. They currently have a 78.1% chance to finish in the top two with strong Net Run Rate advantage.
PBKS currently have an 86.2% chance to qualify. One more win could be enough to seal it.
They have a 29.9% chance and must win both remaining matches to stay in the race.
Yes, they have a 40.4% chance. DC must win both of their remaining games against GT and MI.
They need to beat direct rivals GT and MI and hope other results go their way.
Lucknow Super Giants have just a 0.2% chance. They must win all three games and depend on multiple other outcomes.
They need to win big, boost NRR, and hope for multiple upsets elsewhere.
Technically yes, but they have a 0.0% chance. They are practically eliminated.
KKR must win both remaining games and hope for perfect external results and large NRR swings.
Yes. SRH are mathematically out of contention and cannot reach the playoffs.
No, CSK have been officially eliminated from playoff contention.
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