IPL 2025 playoffs chances are heating up as we enter the final leg of the league stage. With just a few matches left, only two teams — Chennai Super Kings and Rajasthan Royals — are officially out of contention. A few others are also on the brink of elimination with only six teams in with a chance to secure the four remaining spots in what promises to be one of the most thrilling finishes in IPL history.
In this deep dive, we’ll break down the current IPL 2025 playoffs scenarios, team-wise paths to qualification, and what’s at stake in the race for the IPL 2025 top two.
KKR lost a close game to CSK and are all but eliminated from IPL 2025 playoffs race. Having made 179/6 batting first, KKR struggled to contain CSK in the chase as MS Dhoni and Shivam Dube closed out the game in the final few overs despite a few hiccups.
Venue: Dharamsala | Teams: Punjab Kings (7W–3L–1NR) vs Delhi Capitals (6W–4L–1NR)
Let’s now look at each contender’s position, remaining matches, and how many matches to win for playoffs in IPL 2025 to boost their chances. Read detailed summary of chances to qualify for the playoffs for each team.
Here’s how the current IPL 2025 points table appears (updated after KKR vs CSK May 7, 2025):
Now to breakdown scenarios for each team based on remaining fixtures in a table, here’s how it looks:
RCB have been the most consistent team so far and are nearly through to the playoffs.
RCB have taken a commanding lead in the IPL 2025 playoffs race and will aim to seal a top-two spot quickly.
The five-time champions are well-placed, but not safe yet.
Every remaining game is a 4-point clash, making MI’s path tricky but entirely in their control.
GT have a game in hand and are in a strong position to dictate their fate.
GT remain one of the best-positioned teams in this IPL playoffs prediction run-in.
Punjab Kings have strengthened their position in the top two after a convincing win over LSG, but they still need to finish strong.
PBKS are well placed in the IPL 2025 playoffs race, but with tight competition for the top two, every run and over will count from here on.
Delhi are outside the top four but still alive.
DC’s fate hinges on beating fellow competitors in this intense IPL 2025 playoffs race.
LSG’s narrow loss to PBKS has pushed them to the edge of elimination, with their IPL 2025 playoffs chances now hanging by a thread.
LSG are still mathematically alive in the IPL 2025 playoffs race, but their qualification path depends on a perfect run and several external results falling in place.
KKR’s chances are hanging by a thread.
Kolkata are not mathematically eliminated, but they have no chance to qualify now.
SRH are practically eliminated, though not mathematically.
SRH have the longest shot possible and are essentially out of the IPL 2025 playoffs scenarios.
As things stand, RCB, GT, and PBKS look best placed to make it to the top four. MI remain firmly in contention but their recent loss has added pressure. DC, KKR, and LSG are still fighting, while SRH, RR, and CSK are eliminated.
The IPL playoffs race is heating up, and the qualification scenarios may well go down to the final weekend. With several matches between direct rivals like PBKS vs MI and DC vs GT, every point from here is massive.
If you’re wondering who will qualify for IPL 2025 playoffs, the answer is: it’s still wide open. GT’s win over MI has tightened the mid-table, with Punjab Kings and RCB sitting comfortably at 15+ points. Mumbai Indians are now in a slightly vulnerable position and will need to bounce back quickly. So can MI qualify for playoffs in IPL 2025? Yes — but they likely need to win both remaining games to be safe.
The battle for the IPL 2025 top two remains just as intense. GT and RCB are strong contenders there, with PBKS and MI needing perfect finishes to push for it. With Net Run Rate (NRR) already proving decisive in some tiebreaker projections, we may see teams go all out to win big.
Whether you’re updating your IPL playoffs prediction daily or analyzing team form, it’s clear the drama is far from over.
With just about 10 days left in the league stage, the IPL 2025 playoffs chances are tightening. Gujarat Titans and Royal Challengers Bengaluru lead the standings with 16 points each. One more win for either will confirm their spot in the final four. So has RCB qualified for playoffs 2025? Not officially — but they are as close as a team can be without it being mathematical.
Teams like Punjab Kings and Mumbai Indians are at 15 and 14 points respectively, and need one or two wins to feel secure. Most years, 16 points is the safe zone — but in a tight field, 17 points could be the real cutoff. For those asking how many matches to win for IPL playoffs, the answer in 2025 seems to be 8 wins or 17 points.
The DC vs SRH washout on May 5 left Delhi with a steeper climb, and their IPL playoffs chances percentage 2025 now hovers around 35%. LSG also need to win all remaining games and boost their NRR dramatically to stay alive.
KKR, after their loss to CSK, are on the brink. With just 11 points and 2 games left, they can reach a maximum of 15 — which may not be enough. To qualify, they need to win both remaining matches and hope for a near-perfect storm of other results going their way.
So far, RCB, GT, PBKS, and MI still have the clearest path forward. But with every match now influencing NRR and standings, fans should expect surprises right until the last league game.
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Royal Challengers Bengaluru have one of the strongest positions in the league, with an estimated 96.8% chance of qualifying for the IPL 2025 playoffs.
Yes. With two wins from their final three matches, RCB are well placed to secure a top-two finish in the IPL 2025 points table.
Not yet, but they have the strongest chance to qualify as it stands.
Mumbai Indians need two wins from their last two matches to safely qualify for the IPL 2025 playoffs.
MI’s IPL 2025 top two finish chances currently stand at 24.0%. Winning all their remaining games would boost that significantly.
Yes, Gujarat Titans have an 88.8% chance of making it to the IPL 2025 playoffs and need at least two more wins to be safe.
GT are firmly in the IPL 2025 playoffs race and could finish in the top two with three wins from their last four games.
Not yet, but they have the strongest chance to qualify as it stands.
Punjab Kings are currently second and have a 88.6% chance of qualification, needing at least two more wins to stay ahead.
While still possible, Punjab Kings need to win two of their three remaining games and hope for other results to go their way to break into the top two.
Yes, but with only a 25.0% chance. DC must win at least two of their final three matches to remain in contention.
Delhi Capitals’ IPL 2025 playoffs chances are slim and highly dependent on beating direct competitors like PBKS, GT, and MI.
LSG have only an 0.7% chance to qualify for the playoffs and must win all three of their remaining matches by big margins and still hope for other results going their way.
Apart from winning every game, Lucknow must also significantly improve their Net Run Rate and hope other results go in their favor.
KKR are on the brink of elimination, with just a 1.2% chance to qualify. They are not mathematically out of contention yet, but are effectively eliminated.
Mathematically no, but practically yes.
Yes, Sunrisers Hyderabad are mathematically eliminated after the washout vs Delhi Capitals.
No, they are eliminated.
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