IPL 2025 playoffs chances have to be re-evaluated as the tournament resumes after a week-long pause caused by the India-Pakistan conflict. With just a few matches remaining — including the four playoff games — the race for the top four is nearing its conclusion.
Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB), Gujarat Titans (GT), and now Punjab Kings (PBKS) have officially qualified for the playoffs. RCB sealed their place after a washout against Kolkata Knight Riders (KKR) pushed them to 17 points. GT became the first team to reach 18 points with a dominant chase against Delhi Capitals (DC) on May 18, while PBKS joined them shortly after with a narrow win over Rajasthan Royals (RR), also taking their tally to 17 and sealing qualification thanks to a superior Net Run Rate.
Mumbai Indians (MI) remain firmly in the hunt with 14 points and two matches in hand. Meanwhile, Delhi Capitals (DC) and Lucknow Super Giants (LSG) are still mathematically alive but now face a steep climb. Both must win their remaining games and hope for favorable results elsewhere — especially involving MI — to stand any chance of sneaking into the fourth spot. Kolkata Knight Riders (KKR), Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH), Rajasthan Royals (RR), and Chennai Super Kings (CSK) have all been mathematically eliminated from playoff contention.
The resumption of the IPL is not just vital for the teams and their playoff dreams, but also for fans, broadcasters, and sponsors, with considerable revenue tied to the remaining matches. Due to ongoing security concerns, several fixtures are expected to be shifted to southern Indian venues to ensure the safety of players and spectators.
In this deep dive, we’ll break down the updated IPL 2025 playoffs scenarios, team-wise qualification paths, and what’s at stake in the dramatic race for the IPL 2025 top two.
The DC vs GT IPL 2025 encounter on May 18 has added more clarity to the playoff picture. Gujarat Titans became the second team after RCB to officially qualify for the playoffs, chasing down a target of 200 with absolute authority against Delhi Capitals. The Titans were powered by yet another masterclass from Shubman Gill and Sai Sudharsan, who stitched together their third century stand of the season to seal the chase with ease.
Earlier in the evening, KL Rahul marked his return to the top of the order with a stunning century, propelling DC to 199/4. However, the total proved insufficient on a flat surface as GT’s openers dismantled the DC bowling lineup, taking their team to 18 points and guaranteeing a place in the knockouts.
Let’s now look at each contender’s position, remaining matches, and how many matches to win for playoffs in IPL 2025 to boost their chances. Read detailed summary of chances to qualify for the playoffs for each team.
Here’s how the current IPL 2025 points table appears (updated on May 18 after DC vs GT game):
Now to breakdown scenarios for each team based on remaining fixtures in a table, here’s how it looks:
One match could decide the fourth and final spot in the IPL 2025 playoffs race.
One of the most anticipated fixtures in the final leg of the league phase is the Mumbai Indians vs Delhi Capitals clash on May 21 at the Wankhede Stadium. With MI currently on 14 points and DC on 13, this game could play a decisive role in determining the fourth and final playoff spot.
For Mumbai Indians, a win would take them to 16 points, likely sealing qualification. It would eliminate Delhi Capitals and allow MI to focus on a potential top-two push in their final game against PBKS.
For Delhi Capitals, this is must-win territory. After losing to GT, DC have only two matches remaining — against MI and PBKS — and need to win both to reach 17 points and stay in the mix. A loss at Wankhede would effectively end their playoff hopes.
Beyond the points, Net Run Rate (NRR) is a crucial factor. MI boast a commanding NRR of +1.156, while DC’s is just +0.362. If DC beat MI they still have a chance.
This game has all the ingredients of a virtual knockout, with playoff survival, momentum, and qualification controlon the line. A high-pressure evening at a packed Wankhede could determine whether MI hold their nerve or DC produce a late-season surge.
RCB have become the first team to qualify for the IPL 2025 playoffs after the washout against KKR.
IPL 2025 playoffs chances: ✅ 100.0%
Top 2 finish: 🔝 70.5%
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
RCB have taken a commanding lead in the IPL 2025 playoffs race and will now focus on sealing a top-two finish before the playoffs.
The five-time champions are still in a strong position but need to finish well.
IPL 2025 playoffs chances: ✅ 77.8%
Top 2 finish: 🔝 4.6%
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
Every remaining game is a 4-point clash, making MI’s path tricky but entirely in their control.
GT have a game in hand and are in a strong position to dictate their fate.
IPL 2025 playoffs chances: ✅ 100%
Top 2 finish: 🔝 84.5%
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
GT remain one of the best-positioned teams in this IPL playoffs prediction run-in.
Punjab Kings are sitting well in the top two but still need to seal a top two spot.
IPL 2025 playoffs chances: ✅100%
Top 2 finish: 🔝 39.5%
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
PBKS are well placed in the IPL 2025 playoffs top two race, but with tight competition for the top two, every run and over will count from here on.
Delhi are just outside the top four and still alive in the race.
IPL 2025 playoffs chances: ⚠️ 21.5%
Top 2 finish: ❗ 0.9%
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
DC’s fate hinges on beating fellow competitors in this intense IPL 2025 playoffs race.
LSG’s situation remains critical with their playoff hopes almost extinguished.
IPL 2025 playoffs chances: ⛔ 0.7%
Top 2 finish: ❌ 0.0%
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
LSG are still mathematically alive in the IPL 2025 playoffs race, but their qualification path depends on a perfect run and several external results falling in place.
KKR are now officially eliminated from the IPL 2025 playoffs race.
IPL 2025 playoffs chances: ⛔ 0.0%
Top 2 finish: ❌
Remaining fixtures:
KKR’s washout against RCB ended their hopes. Even with a win, they can only reach 13 points, which won’t be enough.
Kolkata Knight Riders – 5W-6L-2NR: Mathematically eliminated
Rajasthan Royals – 3W-10L: Mathematically eliminated
Sunrisers Hyderabad – 3W-7L-1NR: Mathematically eliminated
Chennai Super Kings – 3W-9L: Officially out of the IPL 2025 playoffs
As things stand, RCB (✅ Qualified), GT (✅ Qualified), and PBKS (✅ Qualified) have sealed their spots in the top four. MI remain firmly in contention for the final playoff berth, but their margin for error is slim. DC and LSG are still alive in the race, though DC’s loss to GT has dealt a major blow to their campaign. KKR, SRH, RR, and CSK are now eliminated.
The IPL playoffs race is heating up, and the qualification scenarios may well go down to the final weekend. With several high-stakes games between direct rivals like PBKS vs MI and DC vs MI, every remaining point will be vital in determining the top four.
If you’re wondering who will qualify for IPL 2025 playoffs, the picture is now almost complete. After the RCB vs KKR washout, RCB officially qualified, becoming the first team to reach the IPL 2025 playoffs. With 17 points from 12 games, they are also in strong contention for a top-two finish.
Gujarat Titans, now on 18 points after a dominant win over Delhi Capitals, have also officially qualified for the playoffs. Powered by another century stand from Sai Sudharsan and Shubman Gill, GT made light work of DC’s 199-run target, becoming the first team to hit 18 points this season.
Punjab Kings, with 17 points from 12 matches, have also officially qualified following DC’s defeat to GT. Their qualification probability is now 100%. One more win from their remaining two matches — against Delhi Capitals or Mumbai Indians — could help them secure a top-two finish.
Meanwhile, Mumbai Indians, on 14 points with two matches left, can still qualify for playoffs in IPL 2025, but they must win both to control their fate — especially with a direct clash against PBKS looming large.
The IPL 2025 top two is equally intense. With GT, RCB, and PBKS already qualified, the battle now is about who finishes in the top two. All three teams have a shot, but GT (18 points, 2 matches left) are best placed, while RCB and PBKS will need strong NRR finishes.
Mumbai Indians need a perfect run — wins over both DC and PBKS — and help from other results to have any top-two hopes.
Delhi Capitals, currently on 12 points from 12 games, have seen their campaign falter. Their loss to GT has left them needing wins over both MI and PBKS, with big margins, and a lot of help from other results. Their IPL playoffs chances percentage 2025 is now below 25%.
With just over a week left in the league stage, the IPL 2025 playoffs chances are tightening. RCB have officially qualified with 17 points. GT, now on 18, are also through. So, has RCB qualified for playoffs 2025? Yes — confirmed. Their focus now is the IPL 2025 top two.
Punjab Kings, on 17 points, have also confirmed their spot in the playoffs. A win in either of their remaining games — against DC or MI — could help them secure a top-two finish as well.
Mumbai Indians, with 14 points, must win both remaining matches — against DC and PBKS — to stay in control of their fate. A single loss could leave them needing Net Run Rate support.
With mid-table congestion and tight NRR margins, 18 points may well be the new playoff cut-off in 2025. If you’re asking how many matches to win for IPL playoffs, the answer seems to be eight or more, ideally 17–18 points.
Delhi Capitals, now on 12 points, still have a mathematical chance but need two big wins and external help. KKR are now officially eliminated after the RCB washout confirmed they can’t reach the 16-point threshold. So, are KKR out?Yes — confirmed.
As it stands, RCB, GT, PBKS, and MI are the top contenders. But with direct face-offs coming up and NRR likely to play a deciding role, the IPL playoffs race is set for a thrilling finish.
✅ RCB – 100.0% (✅ Qualified)
✅ GT – 100.0% (✅ Qualified)
✅ PBKS – 100.0% (✅ Qualified)
🔒 MI – 77.8%
ALSO READ:
Royal Challengers Bengaluru have officially qualified for the IPL 2025 playoffs.
Yes. RCB need one win from their remaining two games to strongly boost their top-two chances, currently at 76.2%.
Yes, RCB are the first team to officially qualify for the playoffs with 17 points from 12 matches.
Yes, Mumbai Indians have a 77.6% chance of qualifying. One win from their remaining two matches will put them in a strong position.
Their top two chances are 12.3%. MI must win both games and hope other results go their way to stay in contention.
GT have officially qualified for IPL 0225 playoffs.
Yes. GT have a strong chance to finish in the top two, aided by their strong Net Run Rate.
PBKS have qualified for IPL 2025 playoffs.
Yes, and their top two chances are actually pretty impressive now. They need to win at least one of the two games and may need favorable NRR outcomes, but if they win both, that might seal it.
Yes, DC are still in contention with a 21.5% chance. They must beat Mumbai Indians in their next game.
Delhi need to beat MI, and may still require help from other results to qualify.
Lucknow Super Giants have just a 0.7% chance of qualifying. Their only path involves winning all remaining matches and massive help from other results.
They must win all three remaining games, significantly boost their NRR, and hope multiple teams like PBKS, DC, and MI lose.
No. KKR have been officially eliminated from playoff contention after the washout against RCB.
No. Even with a win in their final match, KKR can reach only 14 points — not enough to make the top four.
Yes. SRH are mathematically eliminated and cannot qualify for the playoffs, even if they win all remaining matches.
No. CSK have been officially eliminated from the IPL 2025 playoffs with 9 losses from 12 matches.
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