IPL 2025 playoffs chances have to be re-evaluated as the tournament is set to resume after a week with the India-Pakistan war forcing the authorities to take a pause.
With just 15 matches remaining, including four playoff games, the competition for the top four spots is intensifying. Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB) have officially qualified for the playoffs after the RCB vs KKR washout, moving to 17 points and becoming the first team to seal a spot in the knockouts. Kolkata Knight Riders (KKR), meanwhile, have been mathematically eliminated from contention. Gujarat Titans, Punjab Kings, and Mumbai Indians remain in strong positions, with 16, 15, and 14 points respectively, while Delhi Capitals and Lucknow Super Giants are still in the mix, though their margins for error are shrinking.
The resumption of the IPL is crucial not only for the teams and fans but also for broadcasters and sponsors, with significant revenue at stake. Security measures are being enhanced, and some matches may be relocated to venues in southern India to ensure player and spectator safety.
In this deep dive, we’ll break down the current IPL 2025 playoffs scenarios, team-wise paths to qualification, and what’s at stake in the race for the IPL 2025 top two.
The RCB vs KKR IPL 2025 match today was set to resume the tournament after the one week suspension following India-Pakistan conflicts. But a damp affair in Bengaluru has seen the teams share points. There are only 11 more league matches left to decide which teams qualify for the IPL 0225 playoffs.
Let’s now look at each contender’s position, remaining matches, and how many matches to win for playoffs in IPL 2025 to boost their chances. Read detailed summary of chances to qualify for the playoffs for each team.
Here’s how the current IPL 2025 points table appears (updated on May 17 after RCB vs KKR washout):
Now to breakdown scenarios for each team based on remaining fixtures in a table, here’s how it looks:
RCB have become the first team to officially qualify for the IPL 2025 playoffs after the washout against KKR.
IPL 2025 playoffs chances: ✅ 100.0%
Top 2 finish: 🔝 76.2%
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
RCB have taken a commanding lead in the IPL 2025 playoffs race and will now focus on sealing a top-two finish before the playoffs.
The five-time champions are still in a strong position but need to finish well.
IPL 2025 playoffs chances: ✅ 77.6%
Top 2 finish: 🔝 12.3%
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
Every remaining game is a 4-point clash, making MI’s path tricky but entirely in their control.
GT have a game in hand and are in a strong position to dictate their fate.
IPL 2025 playoffs chances: ✅ 97.4%
Top 2 finish: 🔝 67.9%
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
GT remain one of the best-positioned teams in this IPL playoffs prediction run-in.
Punjab Kings are sitting well in the top three but still need to seal the deal.
IPL 2025 playoffs chances: ✅ 84.9%
Top 2 finish: 🔝 35.0%
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
PBKS are well placed in the IPL 2025 playoffs race, but with tight competition for the top two, every run and over will count from here on.
Delhi are just outside the top four and still alive in the race.
IPL 2025 playoffs chances: ⚠️ 45.7%
Top 2 finish: ❗ 8.5%
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
DC’s fate hinges on beating fellow competitors in this intense IPL 2025 playoffs race.
LSG’s situation remains critical with their playoff hopes almost extinguished.
IPL 2025 playoffs chances: ⛔ 0.7%
Top 2 finish: ❌ 0.0%
Remaining fixtures:
What they need:
LSG are still mathematically alive in the IPL 2025 playoffs race, but their qualification path depends on a perfect run and several external results falling in place.
KKR are now officially eliminated from the IPL 2025 playoffs race.
IPL 2025 playoffs chances: ⛔ 0.0%
Top 2 finish: ❌
Remaining fixtures:
KKR’s washout against RCB ended their hopes. Even with a win, they can only reach 13 points, which won’t be enough.
Kolkata Knight Riders – 5W-6L-2NR: Mathematically eliminated
Rajasthan Royals – 3W-9L: Mathematically eliminated
Sunrisers Hyderabad – 3W-7L-1NR: Mathematically eliminated
Chennai Super Kings – 3W-9L: Officially out of the IPL 2025 playoffs
As things stand, RCB (✅ Qualified), GT, and PBKS look best placed to make it to the top four. MI remain firmly in contention, but their margin for error is slim. DC and LSG are still alive in the race, while KKR, SRH, RR, and CSK are now eliminated.
The IPL playoffs race is heating up, and the qualification scenarios may well go down to the final weekend. With several high-stakes games between direct rivals like PBKS vs MI and DC vs GT, every remaining point will be vital in determining the top four.
If you’re wondering who will qualify for IPL 2025 playoffs, the picture is clearer now but still not sealed for every spot. After the RCB vs KKR washout, RCB have officially qualified, becoming the first team to enter the IPL 2025 playoffs. With 17 points from 12 games, they’re also in strong contention for a top-two finish.
Gujarat Titans, on 16 points from 11 matches, need just one more win to confirm their spot as well. So, has RCB qualified for playoffs 2025? Yes — officially. And will RCB finish top two? That’s still in play and depends on their final two results.
Punjab Kings remain in control with 15 points from 11 matches, and a win in either of their remaining two games should secure qualification. Meanwhile, Mumbai Indians, on 14 points with two matches left, can qualify for playoffs in IPL 2025, but must win both to be safe — especially with a direct clash against PBKS looming.
The race for the IPL 2025 top two is equally intense. GT, RCB, and PBKS are leading the pack, while MI need a perfect run and help from other results. Delhi Capitals, currently on 13 points with two matches left, must win both — against GT and MI — to keep their playoff hopes alive.
With Net Run Rate (NRR) already proving decisive in tiebreakers, teams not only need wins but may need big wins. Whether you’re following the IPL 2025 playoffs chances game-by-game or tracking predictions, expect every over to count in the final week.
With around 10 days left in the league phase, the IPL 2025 playoffs chances are tightening. RCB have officially qualified with 17 points. GT, also on 16 points, are just one win away from joining them. So has RCB qualified for playoffs 2025? Yes — confirmed. Their focus now is the IPL 2025 top two.
Punjab Kings sit third with 15 points, and a win in either of their two remaining games will all but secure their spot. The suspended PBKS vs DC match will also be crucial if rescheduled. Mumbai Indians, on 14 points, must win both of their remaining matches — including a huge fixture against PBKS — to qualify comfortably.
While 16 points has traditionally been enough, the crowded middle of the table means 17 points may be the new cut-off. If you’re asking how many matches to win for IPL playoffs, the answer for 2025 seems to be eight wins — or more safely, 17 points.
The May 5 washout between DC and SRH means DC remain on 13 points with two games left. Their IPL playoffs chances percentage 2025 sits around 40% — but even a single loss would likely eliminate them.
KKR, after their washout against RCB, are now officially eliminated. With 12 points from 13 games and only one fixture left, they can reach just 13 points — not enough to break into the top four. So, are KKR out? Yes — confirmed. They’ll need to regroup for next season.
As it stands, RCB, GT, PBKS, and MI occupy the best positions. But with multiple direct face-offs, a close NRR battle, and weather still a factor, this IPL playoffs race promises to deliver drama until the very last day.
✅ GT – 98.3%
✅ RCB – 100.0% (✅ Qualified)
✅ PBKS – 85.1%
✅ MI – 77.6%
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ALSO READ:
Royal Challengers Bengaluru have officially qualified for the IPL 2025 playoffs after the washout against KKR. Their qualification chance is now 100%.
Yes. RCB need one win from their remaining two games to strongly boost their top-two chances, currently at 76.2%.
Yes, RCB are the first team to officially qualify for the playoffs with 17 points from 12 matches.
Yes, Mumbai Indians have a 77.6% chance of qualifying. One win from their remaining two matches will put them in a strong position.
Their top two chances are 12.3%. MI must win both games and hope other results go their way to stay in contention.
Not officially, but GT are almost through. With 97.4% qualification odds, just one win from their final three games will confirm their place.
Yes. GT have a 67.9% chance to finish in the top two, aided by their strong Net Run Rate.
PBKS have an 84.9% chance of qualifying. One more win from their final three games could be enough to seal the deal.
Yes, but their top two chances stand at 35.0%. They need to win at least two games and may need favorable NRR outcomes.
Yes, DC are still in contention with a 45.7% chance. They must win all three of their remaining matches to stay alive.
Delhi need to beat GT, MI, and PBKS — all direct competitors — and may still require help from other results to qualify.
Lucknow Super Giants have just a 0.7% chance of qualifying. Their only path involves winning all remaining matches and massive help from other results.
They must win all three remaining games, significantly boost their NRR, and hope multiple teams like PBKS, DC, and MI lose.
No. KKR have been officially eliminated from playoff contention after the washout against RCB.
No. Even with a win in their final match, KKR can reach only 14 points — not enough to make the top four.
Yes. SRH are mathematically eliminated and cannot qualify for the playoffs, even if they win all remaining matches.
No. CSK have been officially eliminated from the IPL 2025 playoffs with 9 losses from 12 matches.
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